Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 8.127969 9.149527 10.211758 11.395587 12.674908 14.012647 15.514093
2024-10-06 6.880269 8.380747 10.026007 11.950837 14.127723 16.500481 19.269132
2024-10-13 6.056749 7.822247 9.834308 12.270049 15.111495 18.294945 22.103921
2024-10-20 5.152120 7.032980 9.255019 12.029553 15.356257 19.173198 23.838557
2024-10-27 4.299079 6.201309 8.529220 11.523228 15.206297 19.525354 24.906855
2024-11-03 3.902804 5.892677 8.398896 11.699199 15.841300 20.780914 27.026021
2024-11-10 3.569199 5.627568 8.290857 11.874865 16.455321 22.000099 29.100988
2024-11-17 3.158496 5.217577 7.959112 11.732693 16.645907 22.684316 30.517520
2024-11-24 2.866776 4.943931 7.782614 11.769677 17.046580 23.618082 32.237875
2024-12-01 2.583075 4.654667 7.561147 11.725932 17.326894 24.391317 33.756446
2024-12-08 2.342351 4.406315 7.376617 11.714537 17.636420 25.194299 35.311715
2024-12-15 2.303905 4.462376 7.622173 12.295321 18.737789 27.023359 38.184867
2024-12-22 2.106657 4.257272 7.483880 12.341909 19.132273 27.959060 39.953598
2024-12-29 2.070273 4.308177 7.722585 12.925686 20.265611 29.874473 43.006734
2025-01-05 1.973992 4.250623 7.792135 13.263683 21.063103 31.354982 45.511066
2025-01-12 1.744002 3.945105 7.465048 13.009282 21.027351 31.724101 46.566416
2025-01-19 1.476784 3.545777 6.965056 12.473489 20.573396 31.514763 46.847368
2025-01-26 1.385650 3.456581 6.950945 12.659744 21.140442 32.683327 48.955798
2025-02-02 1.301707 3.372734 6.939284 12.845632 21.706248 33.853703 51.075817
2025-02-09 1.163251 3.169117 6.716715 12.695190 21.776719 34.341315 52.282250
2025-02-16 1.069862 3.045270 6.620083 12.734328 22.119947 35.204444 53.998334
2025-02-23 0.970715 2.898561 6.474635 12.688035 22.331558 35.882830 55.466845
2025-03-02 0.885327 2.771354 6.354954 12.675976 22.589595 36.625009 57.025480